Search Results - subject_exact:"Russland"

EU enlargement - moving forward with pragmatism

Swoboda, Hannes - 2026

A credible EU enlargement policy remains necessary from a geopolitical perspective, but can only succeed through a more pragmatic and gradual integration approach. New members amplify the existing challenges to EU decision making, rule-of-law conditionality and political cohesion, particularly...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015617496

Digitalization and sustainable development : the impact of energy-efficient agricultural machinery on agro-industries in Russia and Kazakhstan

Rustenova, Elvira; Ibyzhanova, Aizhan; Aidaraliyeva, … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618531

Endgame : the state of the Russian economy

2026

The contours of a genuine economic endgame are coming into view for Russia. The economy has not collapsed, but the structural foundations have eroded fast. Economic growth has come to a standstill and fiscal buffers are largely exhausted. Higher oil prices as a result of the war in the gulf will...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015654292

Chinese export gains, EU export losses, and Russian import reorientation after the 2022 sanctions

Sjöholm, Fredrik - 2026

This paper examines how Russian imports were reoriented after the 2022 sanctions. Using annual bilateral trade data at the product level, it asks whether direct Chinese export gains to Russia were concentrated in the same product lines in which EU exports to Russia declined. It also studies...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015654793

The digital-green twin transition : a framework for digital transformation and clean energy integration in the agro-industrial sectors of Russia and Kazakhstan

Rustenova, Elvira; Ibyzhanova, Aizhan; Aidaraliyeva, … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618904

The impact of Russia-Ukraine conflict on the crude oil prices

Imeri, Amir; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; Monge González, Manuel - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618907

A new geopolitical positioning of South Africa : strategies for a modern "Swing State"

Wrobel, Ralph - 2026

The evolving geopolitical landscape has placed South Africa at a crossroads, torn between its historical ties to the West and its growing relationships with BRICS+ nations, particularly China and Russia. The country's recent political shift, marked by the African National Congress (ANC) losing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015562596

A wartime labor market : the case of Ukraine

Anastasia, Giacomo M.; Boeri, Tito; Zholud, Oleksandr - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015568148

Energy markets at war : the effect of the Russian invasion of Ukraine on refinery margins

Gregor, Leonard; Haucap, Justus - 2026

This paper evaluates the effect of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 on refinery margins, i.e. the difference between wholesale prices for road fuels (gasoline and diesel) and oil prices in Europe and Germany in particular. Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, wholesale road...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015626525

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Energy markets at war : the effect of the Russian invasion of Ukraine on refinery margins

Gregor, Leonard; Haucap, Justus - 2026

Book / Working Paper

European autonomy in space : space systems as a pillar of European defence

Süß, Juliana - 2026

Space capabilities are a core element of any modern defence arsenal. In Europe, however, military space capabilities are limited and dependence on the United States remains high. Europe must develop its capabilities in order to reduce dependencies and enhance its capacity to act on its own,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015585402

The dynamic relationship between natural gas and commodity prices through the Russian-Ukrainian crisis framework

Amamou, Souhir Amri; Bargaoui, Saoussen Aguir; Ifa, Adel - 2026

This paper aims to investigate the sensitivity of the gas market: Russian Natural Gas and Liquefied Gas, to other commodity categories. It sheds light on the Russian-Ukrainian crisis by using an Autoregressive Distributed Lag model on daily prices of Russian Natural Gas, Liquefied Natural Gas,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015603758

A wartime labor market

Anastasia, Giacomo; Boeri, Tito; Zholud, Oleksandr - 2026

Wars disrupt labor markets, yet systematic evidence on how markets for labor services operate during conflicts is almost entirely absent. Ukraine is a rare exception: despite the full-scale Russian invasion, timely data on workers and vacancies, in both stocks and flows, remain available. We use...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015605529

America's fixation on Greenland : implications and policy options for Europe

Paul, Michael - 2026

The acquisition of Greenland has repeatedly been a topic of discussion within US government circles since the 19th century. That is because of the island’s strategic location and its resources. In the summer of 2019, US President Donald Trump made his first bid to purchase Greenland from the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015607350

With, without, against Washington : redefining Europe's relations with the United States

2026

The Pax Americana, which guaranteed the security of Germany and Europe after the Second World War, is coming to an end. Europe can no longer rely on its alliance and partnership with the United States. Even before Donald Trump’s second presidency, Europe was seeking to reduce its dependency on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015619733

Understanding Russia's Asia-Pacific strategy

Jayaprakash, Rajoli Siddharth - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015620959

Geopolitical shocks and crude oil market tail risk : evidence from the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Basdekis, Charalampos Vasilios; Christopoulos, Apostolos G. - 2026

This study examines the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on crude oil tail risk using the Conditional Autoregressive Value at Risk (CAViaR) framework. We analyzed 2364 daily observations of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures spanning 1 January 2015 to 11 December 2023, thereby...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015628732

The impact of market dynamics and geopolitical uncertainty on property return : a comparative analysis of BRICS countries

Moodley, Fabian; Lawrence, Babatunde - 2026

Rising geopolitical tensions and fluctuating financial market conditions have increased volatility and negatively impacted property returns across BRICS countries, yet this critical area remains underexplored despite its significant implications for policy reform and investor participation. To...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015638996

Revisiting Russian war-time import substitution

Simola, Heli - 2026

We examine recent developments and outcomes from Russia's policies on import substitution and technological sovereignty utilizing official documents, statistical data, and company surveys. While Russian officials proclaim ambitious technological sovereignty targets, the reality is less...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015639013

The stock market effects of the 2022 Russia sanctions : evidence from the US and the EU

Leusen, Matthijs; Garretsen, Harry; Giumelli, Francesco; … - 2026

We examine how Western sanctions imposed in response to Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine shaped firm-level stock market performance in the EU and the US. To measure sanction exposure, we link firms to the specific products targeted by US and EU sanctions at the HS6 level, producing a detailed,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015639124

Leading in spending, lagging in innovation : German defence procurement compared to the UK and Poland

Wolff, Guntram B.; Binder, Johannes; Morgan, Thomas - 2026

• This report is built on an update of the Kiel Military Procurement Tracker, covering the UK, Poland and Germany up to January 2026. We show that orders have grown rapidly in frequency, size and number since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. In 2025, German military...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015640521

Authoritarian urbanism in peripheral cities : more-than-neoliberal urban policies in Saransk, Russia

Trivin, Clotilde - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015641282

EU’s export embargoes on russia : have they been effective?

Ito, Tadashi - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015641474

International trade and balance of payments deficit : the inflation as the missing link

Grudev, Lachezar - 2026

My paper claims that the current us policy is based on prejudices that originate in mercantilist thinking, which treats trade as a strategic zero-sum game. This thinking has dominated american academia since the 1970s through a fallacious application of game theory to explain competition between...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015643442

Geoeconomic fragmentation and market decoupling : a time-frequency anatomy of oil-ruble volatility spillovers (2020-2025)

Torun, Erdost; Demireli, Erhan; Grima, Simon - 2026

The interaction between crude oil prices and exchange rates is central to understanding global financial stability and macro-economic balances. Contrary to traditional static analyses, the heterogeneous market hypothesis argues that market participants have different time horizons and that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015656156

A natural experiment reveals the impact of geopolitical shocks on the trajectory of a nation's scientific enterprise

Zhou, Huaxia; Akbaritabar, Aliakbar; Sun, Mengyi; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015656769

Resilience as a response to Russian threats in space : policy options for Germany and Europe

Süß, Juliana - 2026

Russian attacks and threat posturing are increasingly extending into space as well. This poses risks to infrastructure in Europe, which is becoming ever more dependent on satellite systems. This affects civilian services such as navigation, but also Europe's defence capabilities. The question is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015650801

Measures against the "Russian shadow fleet" : only a systematic approach can ensure effectiveness and security

Pawlak, Julian - 2026

The so-called Russian shadow fleet primarily serves to evade sanctions on oil exports and thereby finance its war of aggression against Ukraine. At the same time, it is increasingly emerging as a security risk with defence implications for Europe. Vessels associated with the shadow fleet are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015650803

Perceptions of the Russia-Ukraine war in Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina

Balcells, Laia; Pellegrino, Ana Paula; Simonson, Matthew - 2026

How do non-belligerent societies view the return of large-scale conflict to Europe? Among European countries, with their different historical ties to Russia and lived experiences of conflict, this article examines how the public in Bosnia and Herzegovina and Serbia-two former Yugoslav republics...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015651899

Economic trends in the Western Balkans, Moldova, Türkiye, Ukraine and Russia : economic resilience tested by geopolitical and structural challenges

Hildebrandt, Antje; Beckmann, Elisabeth; Lahnsteiner, … - 2026

Overall economic activity in non‑EU countries in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE) has remained resilient, although most economies recorded slower growth in 2025 compared with the previous year. Looking ahead, new challenges are emerging for 2026. The war in the Middle East is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015652275

Inclusive growth of Russian companies as a driver of socio-economic development : insights from the metallurgical sector

Ivaškovskaja, Irina Vasilʹevna; Grišunin, Sergej … - 2026

Inclusive growth has increasingly emerged as a central framework for understanding how firms can align economic performance with social inclusion and environmental responsibility, particularly in emerging markets characterized by institutional volatility. In the context of geopolitical shocks...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015653569

The Ukraine Support Tariff : how Europe can support Ukraine and weaken Russia

Hinz, Julian; Schularick, Moritz - 2026

A “Ukraine Support Tariff” on the remaining €57.2 billion in EU-Russia trade could generate €6-16 billion per year at moderate rates of 30-50% (partial equilibrium) and €3-11 billion (general equilibrium) - exceeding the €3 billion from frozen Russian asset interest income. General...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015653571

Russia's regional economies in wartime : fiscal divergence, defence windfalls and transfer pressures

Parviainen, Sinikka - 2026

Russia's regions bear a rapidly growing share of the fiscal costs of war. Since showing surpluses as recently as 2021, the collective regional deficit quadrupled in a single year. Using five years of budget execution reports from the Russian Federal Treasury across all 85 Russian regions...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015654218

The Russian grain trap food security & political development in sub-Saharan Africa

Martyshev, Pavlo; Grigoriadis, Theocharis; Nivievskyi, Oleg - 2026

The weaponization of agricultural trade has once again emerged as critical in the study of modern geopolitics due to Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Although Russia has used its wheat exports as a means of enhancing its geopolitical influence over countries in the Global South, evidence...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015632175

Oil Laundering : how did russian oil circumvent the European Union's embargo?

Tadashi, Ito; Tanaka, Kiyoyasu - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015632311

Russia's banking sector in wartime

Solanko, Laura - 2026

Russia's isolation from global financial markets and government programmes to support bank lending initially fuelled a wartime lending boom in Russia. With economic growth now stalled and borrowing costs rising, lending growth has slowed. This shift, in conjunction with increased public sector...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015632799

The rule of law in Ukraine : more than combating corruption

Stewart, Susan - 2026

A series of scandals in Ukraine has shown that Russia’s war of aggression has not put an end to corruption in the country. Although Ukraine’s specialised institutions play an important role in combating corruption, the country’s governance model does not yet meet the requirements of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015633738

EU enlargment: Ukraine as a special case - the Western Balkans as the norm : anchoring Kyiv in the EU through a new type of accession association

Lippert, Barbara; Ondarza, Nicolai von; Seebass, Frauke - 2026

Since Russia launched its full-scale war of aggression against Ukraine in 2022, the European Union (EU) has pursued its enlargement policy as part of a geopolitical approach. According to the European Commission and candidate states, the EU could admit new members from 2028 onwards, while...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015633740

How much economic pain have the Russian sanctions caused Europe?

Pilkington, Philip - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015636323

ICMPD migration outlook 2026 Eastern Europe & Central Asia: eight migration issues to look out for in 2026 : origins, key events and priorities for Europe

2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015636503

The Nordics and Russia before and after Maidan : reflections on the "iron law" of European Russia-profiles

Mouritzen, Hans - 2026

Nordic reactions to the uprising at Maidan Square in Kyiv 2014 and its aftermath were driven by each country's geopolitical profile towards Russia. On this basis, the paper analyses convergences and divergences in Nordic countries' relations with Russia since the Cold War. It then reflects on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015666856

Fit for war by 2030? : European rearmament efforts vis-à-vis Russia

Burilkov, Alexandr; Bushnell, Katelyn; Mejino-López, Juan - 2026

This research article presents new data on military procurement in Germany, the United Kingdom (UK), Poland, and France, and uses these data to analyse procurement patterns, delivery timelines, and force-generation constraints against the background of a deteriorating security situation and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015665895

Show 2 more versions 2

Fit for war by 2030? : European rearmament efforts vis-à-vis Russia"

Burilkov, Alexandr; Bushnell, Katelyn; Majino-Lopez, Juan; … - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Fit for war by 2030? : European rearmament efforts vis-à-vis Russia

Burilkov, Alexandr; Bushnell, Katelyn; Mejino-López, Juan - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Is Russia getting paid for its exports? : new evidence on the impact of economic sanctions

Zangrandi, Michele Savini; Cocozza, Emidio - 2026

Since the beginning of the conflict, Russia has accumulated an unprecedented amount of trade credits against the rest of the world. We argue that this is linked to the effect of economic sanctions, as restriction to payment networks limit Russia's exporters ability to receive foreign exchange...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015665898

The effects of the invasion of Ukraine on Russian sentiments

Elinder, Mikael; Erixson, Oscar; Hammar, Olle - 2026

The Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 reshaped geopolitics and intensified debates on how wars influence domestic political support. Media reports and scholarly work based on aggregate time-series data suggest rally effects, reflected in an immediate surge in Putin's approval ratings....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015653497

Evolution of the state-crime nexus : presenting geocriminality

2026

The state-crime nexus has evolved. This article presents the concept of geocriminality, a novel form of state-crime collaboration distinct from previous configurations in its scale, depth and breadth. It explores the existing discourse on the state's instrumentalisation of crime, ultimately...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668030

Army, tax reforms, and well-being in eighteenth-century Russia

Mustafin, Arthur R. - 2026

This article examines archival records on crop yields and recruit numbers in eighteenth-century Russia, analyzing their dynamics and comparing them with data on recruits' height as an indicator of changes in the standard of living. The study uses more than one hundred and ten archival sources,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668121

Russia's extended war : foreign nationals on the frontlines

Cold-Ravnkilde, Signe Marie - 2026

This report examines Russia's recruitment of foreign nationals to support its war efforts through two interlinked practices: online recruitment through the Alabuga Start project and offline mobilisation of foreign nationals onto the frontline. By analysing these dynamics together, the report...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668124

Widening the productivity gap in the Russian economy in 2009-2015 : stochastic frontier analysis using firm-level data

Bessonova, Evguenia V. - 2026

This paper analyzes total factor productivity (TFP) in Russia over 2009-2015 using firm-level data. Stochastic frontier analysis is employed to simultaneously estimate TFP growth and the distance to the production-possibility frontier for each firm in the sample. The results suggest significant...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668268

Development of an overlapping generations model for the Russian economy for long-term forecasting of the pension system

Shpilevaya, Angelina E.; Gareev, Mikhail Y.; Nesterova, … - 2026

This paper presents a dynamic overlapping generations general equilibrium model for the Russian economy to assess the economic and fiscal effects of the 2018 pension reform, which raised the statutory retirement age. The model incorporates realistic demographic projections, variable labor supply...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668269

Assessment of the impact of financial literacy on inflation expectations based on pseudo-panel data for Russia

Tumanyants, Karen A.; Kuleshov, Fyodor B.; Penikas, Henry; … - 2026

Many studies have found that inflation expectations vary systematically across population groups. This heterogeneity is driven among other factors by the level of financial literacy - a pattern documented for Russia as well. Earlier Russian evidence, however, rested on a single survey wave; we...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668276

Technological modernization of the national economy as an indicator of green finance : data analysis on the example of Russia

Kabir, Liudmila S.; Mingaleva, Zhanna A.; Rakov, Ivan D. - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618164