With the emergence of generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools (including large language models) in the popular discourse, the debate on managing, governing, and regulating the impacts of AI on society has grown considerably. In part due to the unique breadth of AI's impacts and its varying...

We construct two new large-scale datasets to measure relative and upward educational mobility by sex, race, class, and childhood county of residence for cohorts born in 1910-1919 and 1982-1997. We show that both relative and upward educational mobility rose over the 20th century, with...

Global development policy is a particularly revealing field in which the Trump administration combines crude transactionalism with a high level of ideological commitment, namely an authoritarian libertarianism oriented toward elite interests. This is coupled with, at times, a chaotic absence of...

The higher turnout in Iraq’s recent parliamentary elections reflects advances over the past four years, notably in infrastructure development, security, and political stability. The election’s outcome and ensuing coalition-building dynamics underscore trends and challenges that will shape...

Global development policy is a particularly revealing field in which the Trump administration combines crude transactionalism with a high level of ideological commitment, namely an authoritarian libertarianism oriented toward elite interests. This is coupled with, at times, a chaotic absence of...

The prominence of Energy Performance Contracting (EPC) has grown particularly dramatically in recent years, prompting countries to enact policies aimed at fostering wider EPC adoption and backing up the growth of Energy Service Companies (ESCOs). However, the effectiveness of these overarching...

This paper analyzes heterogeneity in post-pandemic labor market adjustment across industries, contrasting healthcare and social assistance with leisure and hospitality. Using CPS monthly microdata (2015-2023), JOLTS separations, and LEHD Jobto-Job flows, we estimate sector-specific...

Der vorliegende Bericht untersucht die internationale Verbreitung und strukturelle Ausprägung zweier Schlüsseltechnologien - Künstliche Intelligenz (KI) sowie alternative Antriebe und klimafreundliche Kraftstoffe - auf Basis eines webAI-gestützten Analyseansatzes. Als Datenbasis dient der...

Quality ratings are useful when they capture important and durable aspects of overall performance. They are less useful (and can be misleading) when they are excessively volatile, particularly if volatility is not the result of facility-specific performance. We study the volatility of the...

Many instrumental variables applications specify a single Bernoulli treatment. But instruments may change outcomes through multiple pathways or by varying treatment intensity. Lottery instruments that boost charter school enrollment, for instance, may affect outcomes by lengthening time enrolled...

In this paper, we present the empirical methodology used to estimate the Levy Institute Measure of Time and Income Poverty (LIMTIP) for the United States over the period 2007-2022. We provide a step-by-step account of the statistical matching procedure employed to construct a synthetic dataset...

This paper studies the international macro-financial implications of U.S. dollar-backed payment stablecoins. These digital assets create a new global safe asset channel that links private money creation and global payment needs directly to U.S. public debt. By reshaping the demand for safe...

The automotive industry is undergoing an intensive technological transformation driven by environmental regulations, supply-chain disruptions, and the growing competitiveness of electric and digitally integrated vehicle producers. This study examines the impact of advanced manufacturing...

This paper investigates the implications of trade policy uncertainty (TPU) in the United States for current account balance (CAB) dynamics, given renewed interest in pursuing trade policy measures to address persistent current account deficits. We examine whether TPU, a distinct source of policy...

A comprehensive understanding of the determinants of sexual violence constitutes a crucial step toward effective prevention. While there is much research on the role of socio-economic circumstances of both victims acund perpetrators, little is known about whether an individual's physical...

This paper draws on trade data, academic literature, government reports, and policy documents to contextualize historic trade dynamics and trace the buildup to recent disputes. Using a comparative framework, we analyze how Sino-U.S. and Sino-Canada relations have shaped and continue to shape...

Die Bedeutung des globalen Dienstleistungshandels hat in den letzten Jahren stark zugenommen. So erreichte der Dienstleistungsexport gemessen an den weltweiten Gesamtexporten im Jahr 2023 einen Anteil von über 27 Prozent, in der EU gar von rund 33 Prozent. Gegenüber 2010 ist das global gesehen...

We study political shocks as potential birth outcomes stressors, specifically the unexpected result of the 2016 U.S. presidential election. We investigate this two-sided shock using an innovative data linkage: Colorado voter registrations and birth certificates, matched by sex, birth year, and...

This study utilizes eight waves of the US Health and Retirement Study (HRS) and its "Leave-Behind" module (2006-2020) to explore the extent to which Locus of Control (LoC) influences the uptake of breast and prostate cancer screening. While traditional socioeconomic factors only partially...

Die Studie simuliert mit Hilfe des CGE-Modells des HWWI die kurzfristigen Folgen des aktuellen US-Zollregimes (Stand Herbst/Winter 2025) für Hamburg. Aggregiert bleiben BIP und Beschäftigung in Deutschland, der EU und Hamburg nahe null, während die USA in ein stagflationäres Umfeld geraten....

Fünf Jahre nach dem blutigen Militärputsch und inmitten eines Bürgerkrieges haben in Myanmar Wahlen stattgefunden. Sie waren weder frei noch fair, noch wurde bei ihrer Durchführung auch nur versucht, den Schein demokratischer Mindeststandards zu wahren. Der Hauptzweck der Wahlen war von...

• The 2025 US tariffs are an own goal: American importers and consumers bear nearly the entire cost. Foreign exporters absorb only about 4% of the tariff burden - the remaining 96% is passed through to US buyers. • Using shipment-level data covering over 25 million transactions valued at...

Die Bedeutung des globalen Dienstleistungshandels hat in den letzten Jahren stark zugenommen. So erreichte der Dienstleistungsexport gemessen an den weltweiten Gesamtexporten im Jahr 2023 einen Anteil von über 27 Prozent, in der EU gar von rund 33 Prozent. Gegenüber 2010 ist das global gesehen...

Der vorliegende Bericht untersucht die internationale Verbreitung und strukturelle Ausprägung zweier Schlüsseltechnologien - Künstliche Intelligenz (KI) sowie alternative Antriebe und klimafreundliche Kraftstoffe - auf Basis eines webAI-gestützten Analyseansatzes. Als Datenbasis dient der...