Search Results - subject_exact:"Wahl"

Votes for work? : job patronage and electoral mobilization in Albania

Uberti, Luca J.; Imami, Drini; Mendola, Mariapia - 2026

We study the impact of an election campaign on the labor market outcomes of incumbent party supporters. Using unique data on voters' political preferences during a pre-election period in Albania and a DiD design that compares the evolution of outcomes among close neighbours, we show that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015625041

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Votes for work? : job patronage and electoral mobilization in Albania

Uberti, Luca J.; Imami, Drini; Mendola, Mariapia - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Candidate exit and voter loyalty during early democratization

Dewan, Torun A.; Kam, Christopher; Meriläinen, Jaakko; … - 2026

Hirschman's Exit, Voice, and Loyalty (1970) proposed that organizations persist when loyalty tempers incentives to exit after adverse shocks. We test this argument using newly digitized individual-level voting records from 28 English constituencies (1832-1868), covering 134,000 real votes....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015625472

Do elections moderate or polarize political rhetoric?

Boeri, Tito; Nikiforova, Nina; Tabellini, Guido Enrico - 2026

We study the communication strategies on Twitter/X of 367 political leaders in 21 countries, focusing on electoral competition between populists and non-populists. We measure polarization by the ease with which the leader can be classified as populist or not, conditional on his tweet. We find...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015626654

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Do elections moderate or polarize political rhetoric?

Boeri, Tito; Nikiforova, Nina; Tabellini, Guido Enrico - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Do elections moderate or polarize political rhetoric?

Boeri, Tito; Nikiforova, Nina; Tabellini, Guido Enrico - 2026 - This Version: March 17, 2026

Edition: This Version: March 17, 2026

Book / Working Paper

Do elections moderate or polarize political rhetoric?

Boeri, Tito; Nikiforova, Nina; Tabellini, Guido Enrico - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Goodbye, montesquieu : executive spillovers in judicial elections

Fontana, Nicola; Nannicini, Tommaso; Snyder, James M. - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015647327

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Goodbye, Montesquieu : executive spillovers in judicial elections

Fontana, Nicola; Nannicini, Tommaso; Snyder, James M. Jr. - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Political stressors and birth outcomes : evidence from the 2016 U.S. presidential election

Golberstein, Ezra; Guth, Daniel; Slusky, David - 2026

We study political shocks as potential birth outcomes stressors, specifically the unexpected result of the 2016 U.S. presidential election. We investigate this two-sided shock using an innovative data linkage: Colorado voter registrations and birth certificates, matched by sex, birth year, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015615413

Anchoring inflation expectations : a teaching treatment and its persistence through the 2025 German federal election

Gockel, Christine; Strohsal, Till - 2026

We study how inflation expectations can be anchored through different forms of communication and whether such anchoring survives political change. Using a two-wave panel RCT around the 2025 German federal election, we show that providing the ECB's target and projections lowers expectations by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015635198

Mobility-based gerrymandering : theory and evidence

Mongrain, Steeve; Revelli, Federico; Van Ypersele, Tanguy; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015637538

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Mobility-based gerrymandering : theory and evidence

Mongrain, Steeve; Revelli, Federico; Van Ypersele, Tanguy; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Bangladesh's political realignment after the parliamentary elections : hope for stability, concerns about democratic pluralism

Scholz, Tobias; Wigger, Leo - 2026

The parliamentary elections held in Bangladesh on 12 February 2026 marked a turning point in the country’s recent history. In August 2024, Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, who had served for a total of 20 years, with one interruption, was removed from office. An interim government led by Nobel...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618375

Ökonomische Folgen autoritären Regierens am Beispiel Ungarn. Zur Parlamentswahl 2026: Ungarische Standortentwicklung im regionalen Vergleich

Radunz, Alexander - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015634197

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Ökonomische Folgen autoritären Regierens am Beispiel Ungarn : zur Parlamentswahl 2026 : ungarische Standortentwicklung im regionalen Vergleich

Radunz, Alexander - 2026 - Stand: April 2026

Edition: Stand: April 2026

Book / Working Paper

Sham elections amid the war in Myanmar: Prospects for national stability and international cooperation

Heiduk, Felix - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015615712

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Sham elections amid the war in Myanmar : prospects for national stability and international cooperation

Heiduk, Felix - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Electing the pope : elections by repeated ballots

Ponsatí, Clara; Zápal, Jan - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015655634

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Electing the pope : elections by repeated ballots

Ponsatí, Clara; Zápal, Jan - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Exploring political budget cycles in the EU-27

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Leal, Frederico Silva - 2026

Using quarterly data for the period Q1:2000–Q4:2024, the study examines whether elections in EU‑27 member states shape the composition and timing of fiscal policy strategies, and how political, fiscal and institutional constraints condition these dynamics. Employing a two‑way...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015593132

Social media vs. democracy : evidence from the january 6th insurrection

Mueller, Karsten; Schwarz, Carlo; Shen, Zekai - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015647359

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Social media vs. democracy : evidence from the January 6th insurrection

Mueller, Karsten; Schwarz, Carlo; Shen, Zekai - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Social media vs. democracy : evidence from the january 6th insurrection

Mueller, Karsten; Schwarz, Carlo; Shen, Zekai - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Reclaiming Iraqi agency : post-election dynamics and challenges

Azizi, Hamidreza; Werenfels, Isabelle - 2026

The higher turnout in Iraq’s recent parliamentary elections reflects advances over the past four years, notably in infrastructure development, security, and political stability. The election’s outcome and ensuing coalition-building dynamics underscore trends and challenges that will shape...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015585403

Voter Switching and Policy Preferences: Evidence from Japan's 2025-2026 elections

Yamamura, Eiji; Todō, Yasuyuki - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015644890

Populism in the Italian municipal elections : the M5S experience

Bordignon, Massimo; Colussii, Tommaso - 2026

This paper reviews a growing body of theoretical and empirical research on Italian populism through a detailed examination of the Five Star Movement (Movimento 5 Stelle, M5S), focusing on its experience in municipal elections. Using a wide range of administrative and survey data, as well as...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015614864

Elections and political polarisation : challenges for environmental agreements

Spycher, Sarah - 2026 - This version: May 2026

This paper examines how domestic elections and political polarisation shape international environmental agreements. Using a four-stage game to model a bilateral treaty, I analyse how incumbents strategically balance policy preferences with re-election prospects. Results reveal asymmetric...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015654870

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Elections and political polarisation: Challenges for environmental agreements

Spycher, Sarah - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Elections and political polarisation : challenges for environmental agreements

Spycher, Sarah - 2024 - This version: November 2024

Edition: This version: November 2024

Book / Working Paper

The strategic use of microtargeting : the case of the German Federal Elections of 2025

2026

Political microtargeting (PMT) is often associated with data-intensive voter profiling and the Cambridge Analytica scandal. This paper argues that such a framing is increasingly outdated, particularly in tightly regulated contexts. Drawing on expert interviews, social media content analysis and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015652099

Drought declarations and voting outcomes : evidence from Tunisia

Hashish, Nourhan - 2025

Using a novel dataset in a difference-in-differences framework, I study the political implications of the change in policies protecting drought-impacted communities in Tunisia in 3088 districts. In 2016, the Tunisian government had drastically reduced support to farmers affected by droughts. I...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015372550

Political cycles of media repression

Schulze, Günther G.; Zakharov, Nikita - 2025

In this paper, we unveil targeted repression against journalists as an elaborate strategy used by modern autocrats to mitigate the risk of mass protests during autocratic elections-a common threat to their rule. Repression is deployed to discipline the media before elections to secure favorable...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015211482

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Political cycles of media repression

Schulze, Günther G.; Zakharov, Nikita - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Political cycles of media repression

Schulze, Günther G.; Zakharov, Nikita - 2023

Book / Working Paper

A model of k-winners

Canales, Diego Armando - 2025

The concept of the Condorcet winner has become central to most electoral models in the political economy literature. A Condorcet winner is the alternative preferred by a plurality in every pairwise competition; the notion of a k-winner generalizes that of a Condorcet winner. The k-winner is the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015271715

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A model of k-winners

Canales, Diego Armando - 2025

Article

Bundestagswahl unter neuen Vorzeichen

Martin, Christian W. - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015325283

Shaken politics : the electoral outcomes of disasters and social capital

Gualtieri, Giovanni; Nicolini, Marcella; Sabatini, Fabio; … - 2025

We study the electoral repercussions of the L'Aquila earthquake in 2009, one of Italy's most catastrophic post-WWII seismic events. We construct a unique municipality-level dataset, combining high-resolution data on the ground acceleration recorded during the earthquake with European election...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015327667

When money can't buy political love : lab experiments on vote buying in Ghana and Uganda

Burbidge, Dominic; Cheeseman, Nic; Serwaah-Panin, Amma - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015455972

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When money can 't buy political love : lab experiments on vote buying in Ghana and Uganda

Burbidge, Dominic; Cheeseman, Nic; Serwaah-Panin, Amma - 2025

Book / Working Paper

National elections and sub-national electoral cycles : do strong fiscal rules matter in Europe?

Lopez Villavicencio, Antonia; Oriola, Hugo - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015332266

Report on "Partisan effects of information campaigns in competitive authoritarian elections: evidence from Bangladesh" by Ahmed et al. (2024)

Bensch, Gunther; Rose, Julian; Neubauer, Florian; … - 2025

This report compiles our recent comment on Ahmed, Hodler, and Islam (2024, AHI-2024) and our response to the authors' reply to our comment. Our report is one element in a concerted forensic reproduction of studies based on data collected by GDRI, a Bangladesh-based survey company. We appreciate...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015337640

How work shapes democracy : political preferences, populist attitudes and far-right voting intentions among the European labour force : a cross-country survey project in the face of the 2024 EU elections

Hövermann, Andreas; Kohlrausch, Bettina; Langer, Arnim; … - 2025

In the face of the 2024 European Parliament elections, the study at hand investigates the role of work, working conditions, and workers' voice for (anti-)democratic attitudes and far-right voting intentions. For this purpose, primary survey data was collected among the labour force in ten EU...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015182123

How anti-racist protests influence pro- and anti-migration voting behavior : evidence from national and European elections

Stephan, Meret; Schürmann, Lennart - 2025

Racist attacks and incidents frequently spark anti-racist protest campaigns. This research examines the effect of such mobilization on voting behavior in subsequent national and European elections. We focus on two periods of anti-racist demonstra-tions in Germany that followed 1) the killing of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015190530

Chapter 11 bankruptcy outcomes and gubernatorial election cycles

Breuer, Wolfgang; Haas, Simon; Knetsch, Andreas - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015492215

Immigration, place, and the right : explaining support for the radical right in Italy during 2022 Italian National Elections

Mancosu, Moreno; Sarcone, Giulia - 2025

In recent years, academic research and public debate have increasingly focused on the relationship between immigration and support for populist radical right-wing parties (PRRPs). This study examines the 2022 Italian National Elections to assess whether the presence of immigrants at municipal...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015492444

The differential effect of regulatory signals on shareholder dissent : the case of shareholder voting in director elections

Uchida, Daisuke; Yoshikawa, Toru - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015459222

The stock market's anticipation of the Trump 2024 election : the case of sustainable business models

Koch, Dennis; Schiereck, Dirk - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015460152

Geography of discontent in Türkiye : populism, autocracy, and voting behavior in general elections of 2007-2023

Kozal, Özge; Karaçuka, Mehmet; Haucap, Justus - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015462655

Political elections and market reactions : the "Trump effect" on green stocks

Cosma, Simona; Cosma, Stefano; Gambarelli, Luca; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015463289

Do shocks divide or unite : evidence from the Netherlands

Etten, Yannick van; Magnus, Jan R.; Matsubayashi, Tetsuya - 2025

We study the possible increase of partisan polarization in the Netherlands over the period 1998-2023, in particular its relationship with the degree of urbanization, the so-called urban-rural divide. Using national election results at the municipal level and municipal characteristics, we show...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015463633

The politician, the party, and the president : how do political scandals propagate across the party network?

Muço, Arieda - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015464031

Critical junctures in United Kingdom telecommunications policy

Sutherland, Ewan - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015444473

Improving the security of united states elections with robust optimization

Crimmins, Braden L.; Halderman, J. Alex; Sturt, Bradley - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015445270

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Improving the Security of United States Elections with Robust Optimization

Crimmins, Braden; Halderman, J. Alex; Sturt, Bradley - 2023

Book / Working Paper

Climate policies, investments, and the role of elections

Hagen, Achim; Kollenbach, Gilbert - 2025

We study the interaction of climate policies and investments into fossil and renewable energy generation capacity under political uncertainty caused by democratic elections. We develop an overlapping generations model, where elected governments determine carbon taxation and green investment...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015448061

The determinants of political selection : a citizen-candidate model with valence signaling and incumbency advantage

Peralta, Susana; Van Ypersele, Tanguy - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015466835

Fiscal policy and politicians' term length

Cipullo, Davide; Franzoni, Federico; Klarin, Jonas - 2025 - Version October 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015555544

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Fiscal policy and politicians' term Length

Cipullo, Davide; Franzoni, Federico; Klarin, Jonas - 2025 - This version: October 7, 2025

Edition: This version: October 7, 2025

Book / Working Paper

An options-pricing approach to forecasting the US election

Fry, John; Bennett, Steve; Hastings, Thomas - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015473108

The electric telegraph, news coverage, and political participation

Wang, Tianyi - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015453427

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The Electric Telegraph, News Coverage and Political Participation

Wang, Tianyi - 2023

Book / Working Paper

The electric telegraph, news coverage and political participation

Wang, Tianyi - 2023

Book / Working Paper

The Electric Telegraph, News Coverage and Political Participation

Wang, Tianyi - 2023

Book / Working Paper

The Electric Telegraph, News Coverage and Political Participation

Wang, Tianyi - 2023

Book / Working Paper

The Electric Telegraph, News Coverage and Political Participation

Wang, Tianyi - 2020

Book / Working Paper

Should I mail or should I go : voting behavior after a one-time all-postal election

Kröper, Marius; Lindlacher, Valentin - 2025

We investigate how reducing information costs through forced experimentation with postal voting, while holding administrative rules fixed, affects subsequent voting behavior. Leveraging a natural experiment during Bavaria’s 2020 Mayoral Elections and drawing on municipality-level...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015453902

Preaching to the future : religious schools, youth organizations, and the rise of political Islam in Türkiye

Benzer, Tolga; Tukiainen, Janne - 2025

We examine whether anti-establishment outsider movements can leverage education and youth mobilization to build long-run political power. We study the expansion of state-run religious secondary schools in 1970s Türkiye and show that access to these schools catalyzed the emergence of Islamist...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015439360

Politically driven cycles in fiscal policy : evidence from disaggregated budgets in middle-income countries

Fatmawati, Sri; Fitrady, Ardyanto; Widodo, Tri - 2025

This paper examines the electoral cycle and the conduct of the central government’s fiscal policy. It uses a panel database with disaggregated spending and revenue series for 34 middle-income countries over 2000-2022. A dynamic panel approach was used to look at overall government spending and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015439422

Between a failed coup and an election : China-South Korea relations at a key juncture

2025

On 3 December 2024, the then-President of the Republic of Korea (ROK) Yoon Suk-yeol triggered the gravest political crisis in the country since its democratisation by declaring martial law in a televised address. Yoon justified martial law as a response to what he dubbed the "legislative...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015440131

Forecasting presidential elections : accuracy of ANES voter intentions

Ko, Hyein; Jackson, Natalie; Osborn, Tracy; Lewis-Beck, … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015440239

Efficiency of poll-based multi-period forecasting systems for German state elections

Fritsch, Markus; Haupt, Harry; Schnurbus, Joachim - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015440636

Political budget cycles in federal systems : the case of India

Das, Sourav; Hufschmidt, Patrick; Mankat, Fabian; … - 2025

This paper examines Political Budget Cycles in federal systems, focusing on how a central incumbent allocates discretionary transfers across states in response to electoral incentives. We develop a theoretical model predicting that average discretionary transfers increase during federal election...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015440871