Assessing fiscal risks in Bangladesh

Leandro Medina

This paper identifies, quantifies, and assesses fiscal risks in Bangladesh. By performing sensitivity analysis and using stochastic simulations, it measures risks arising from shocks to GDP growth, the exchange rate, commodity prices, and interest rates. It also analyzes specific fiscal and institutional risks, such as those related to the pension system, the issuance of guarantees, the state-owned commercial banks, and the external borrowing and debt management strategy. The paper finds that fiscal aggregates are particularly sensitive to shocks to commodity prices and exchange rates. Other f

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Year of publication:	2015
Authors:	Medina, Leandro
Publisher:	Washington, DC : IMF
Subject:	Rohstoffpreis \| Commodity price \| Wechselkurs \| Exchange rate \| Öffentliche Schulden \| Public debt \| Pensionsverpflichtungen \| Pension obligations \| Sensitivitätsanalyse \| Sensitivity analysis \| Simulation \| Bangladesch \| Bangladesh

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Extent:	Online-Ressource (25 S.) graph. Darst.
Series:	IMF working papers. - Washington, DC : IMF, ZDB-ID 2108494-4. - Vol. 15/110
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Type of publication (narrower categories):	Arbeitspapier ; Working Paper ; Graue Literatur ; Non-commercial literature
Language:	English
Notes:	Description based upon print version of record Systemvoraussetzungen: Acrobat Reader Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Contents; I. Introduction; II. A Framework for Analyzing Fiscal Risks; III. Macroeconomic Risks and Budget Sensitivity in Bangladesh; A. Sensitivity Analysis; B. Stochastic Analysis of Debt Dynamics; IV. Specific Fiscal Risks Facing Bangladesh; A. Government Loan Guarantees; B. State-Owned Banks; C. The Pension System; V. Institutional capacity; Budgeting Practices and Forecasting; External Borrowing and Debt Management; VI. Conclusions and Policy Implications; References; Footnotes
ISBN:	978-1-5135-5108-1
Other identifiers:	10.5089/9781513551081.001 [DOI]
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

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