From noise to bias : overconfidence in new product forecasting
Year of publication: |
2022
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Authors: | Feiler, Daniel ; Tong, Jordan |
Published in: |
Management science : journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences. - Hanover, Md. : INFORMS, ISSN 1526-5501, ZDB-ID 2023019-9. - Vol. 68.2022, 6, p. 4685-4702
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Subject: | choice | decision bias | forecast | judgment & decision-making | laboratory experiments | new product development | overconfidence | random error | Systematischer Fehler | Bias | Experiment | Produktentwicklung | New product development | Prognoseverfahren | Forecasting model | Entscheidung | Decision | Prognose | Forecast | Statistischer Fehler | Statistical error | Entscheidung unter Unsicherheit | Decision under uncertainty | Verhaltensökonomik | Behavioral economics |
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