Google econometrics and unemployment forecasting

Nikolaos Askitas; Klaus F. Zimmermann

The current economic crisis requires fast information to predict economic behavior early, which is difficult at times of structural changes. This paper suggests an innovative new method of using data on internet activity for that purpose. It demonstrates strong correlations between keyword searches and unemployment rates using monthly German data and exhibits a strong potential for the method used. -- Google ; internet ; keyword search ; search engine ; unemployment ; predictions ; time-series analysis

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Year of publication:	2009
Authors:	Askitas, Nikolaos ; Zimmermann, Klaus F.
Publisher:	Berlin : German Council for Social and Economic Data (RatSWD)
Subject:	Digitale Plattform \| Digital platform \| Datenqualität \| Data quality \| Suchmaschine \| Search engine \| Arbeitslosigkeit \| Unemployment \| Prognoseverfahren \| Forecasting model \| Arbeitsmarktprognose \| Employment forecast \| Vergleich \| Comparison \| Zeitreihenanalyse \| Time series analysis \| Schätzung \| Estimation \| Deutschland \| Germany \| 2004-2009

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Extent:	Online-Ressource (18 S.) graph. Darst.
Series:	RatSWD research notes. - Berlin : [Verlag nicht ermittelbar], ISSN 2190-961X, ZDB-ID 2512351-8. - Vol. 41
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Type of publication (narrower categories):	Arbeitspapier ; Working Paper ; Graue Literatur ; Non-commercial literature
Language:	English
Notes:	Systemvoraussetzungen: Acrobat Reader
Other identifiers:	hdl:10419/43637 [Handle]
Classification:	C22 - Time-Series Models ; C82 - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data ; E17 - Forecasting and Simulation ; E24 - Employment; Unemployment; Wages ; E37 - Forecasting and Simulation
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003873102