Firms must transform production processes towards sustainable technologies in response to climate change and the emergence of policies aiming to curb carbon emissions. The energy shock due to the war in Ukraine renders this transformation not only important, but also urgent. All this requires...

We propose a general equilibrium model with oligopolistic output markets where two channels can cause a change in market power: (i) technology, via changes to productivity shocks and the cost of entry, (ii) market structure, via changes to the number of potential competitors. First, we...

Economists typically make simplifying assumptions to make the solution and estimation of their highly complex models feasible. These simplifications include approximating the true nonlinear dynamics of the model, disregarding aggregate uncertainty or assuming that all agents are identical. While...

We explore how firms grow by adding products. In contrast to most earlier work on the topic, our conceptual and empirical framework allows for separate treatment of product innovation (vertical differentiation) and diversification (horizontal differentiation). Chad Syverson Professor of...

We propose a simple explanation for the long-run decline in the startup rate. It was caused by a slowdown in labor supply growth since the late 1970s, largely pre-determined by demographics. This channel explains roughly two-thirds of the decline and why incumbent firm survival and average...

Am 29.09.2022 hat die Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose der führenden deutschen Wirtschaftsforschungsinstitute ihr Herbstgutachten über die Entwicklung der Weltwirtschaft und der deutschen Wirtschaft vorgelegt. Mit dem Titel „Energiekrise: Inflation, Rezession, Wohlstandsverlust“...

We provide evidence for a causal link between the US economy and the global financial cycle. Using a unique intraday dataset, we show that US macroeconomic news releases have large and significant effects on global risky asset prices. Stock price indexes of 27 countries, the VIX, and commodity...

This conference seeks to bring together innovative research related to these challenges, aiming to provide guidance to policy. In particular, we are interested in research studies (not yet published) that focus on one or more of the following topics: - Public and private investments in shaping...

The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and the resulting lockdowns have created a deep global recession, induced massive government interventions and forced a change in the social and economic behaviour of economic agents. This raises many questions about the path to economic recovery and the...

This biennial conference provides a forum for new theoretical and applied work on forecasting. For more than a decade the world economy has operated under elevated economic, financial and political risks, and it has recently been hit by economic shutdowns of unprecedented length owing to the...