The COVID-19 pandemic has greatly exacerbated the macroeconomic vulnerabilities of low- and middle-income countries. Debt was already high prior to the onset of the pandemic, but now many developing country governments must navigate through record-high public and private debt levels, and rising...

Am 29.09.2022 hat die Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose der führenden deutschen Wirtschaftsforschungsinstitute ihr Herbstgutachten über die Entwicklung der Weltwirtschaft und der deutschen Wirtschaft vorgelegt. Mit dem Titel „Energiekrise: Inflation, Rezession, Wohlstandsverlust“...

We provide evidence for a causal link between the US economy and the global financial cycle. Using a unique intraday dataset, we show that US macroeconomic news releases have large and significant effects on global risky asset prices. Stock price indexes of 27 countries, the VIX, and commodity...

The main theme of the conference is “Institutions, Laws, and Economic Development.” Any research related to an economic analysis of institutions and laws, or how institutions or laws matter for economic growth will be considered for presentation. The meeting will be held face-to-face format...

Joint with the Swiss National Bank, the Study Center sponsors a biannual conference organized jointly with the Journal of Monetary Economics. Each conference focuses on a specific topic of relevance for central banks and features six to eight papers that are contributed by leading specialists in...

The aim of the conference is to bring together scholars to present their current research involving expectations surveys. Over the past decade, researchers and central banks have started to collect survey data on expectations from consumers, economists, professional forecasters, and firms. These...

Session Topics Include: - New Economic Data in the Wake of COVID: Potential and Pitfalls - Ukraine-Russia War and Aftermath: Geopolitical and Economic Perspectives - From Just-in-Time to Just-in-Case? Assessing the Resiliency of Supply Chains - Trade and Technology: U.S. and China's Power...

The fall 2022 edition of Kieler Konjunkturgespräche takes a closer look at inflation dynamics, the proper response of monetary policy and consequences for the global economy. Strong demand during the post-Covid recovery, supply chain disruptions and exploding prices for energy, food and other...

The conference will bring together top researchers from academia, central banks and other policy institutions to present research findings related to inflation.

We present evidence that the rise in inflation in Japan since 2014 is a result of a hidden stagflation: the relative prices of durable consumption and ICT investment goods stopped declining, reflecting technology stagnation and exerting an inflationary pressure on the economy and; the real side...