Berufliche Orientierung, d. h. Berufsorientierung und Studienorientierung, gilt als eine zentrale Voraussetzung für die Berufs- und Studienwahl und einen gelingenden Übergang Schule – Beruf, gerade in Zeiten eines steigenden Fachkräftebedarfs. Im Laufe ihres Berufsorientierungsprozesses...

Der ifo Branchen-Dialog ist eine Plattform für aktuelle Themen aus branchenspezifischer Perspektive. Expert*innen aus Unternehmen, Verbänden, Politik und Forschung erläutern aktuelle Entwicklungen, Trends und Herausforderungen. Im Rahmen der diesjährigen Veranstaltung fragen wir, wie die...

“Macro Policies in Turbulent Times” – #KKG107 takes a closer look at key issues in monetary and fiscal affairs. Macroeconomically, the recent years have been turbulent times indeed. Both the pandemic as well as the energy crisis brought about new challenges for monetary and fiscal...

We evaluate the impact of loan-to-value restrictions on household financial vulnerability. Using Norwegian tax data, we first document a beneficial leverage effect, in which households respond to the regulation by reducing house purchase probabilities, debt and interest expenses. Second, we...

We introduce shocks to the availability of US dollar funding for non-US financial intermediaries in a two-country New Keynesian model with financial frictions. Such dollar shortages lead to uncovered interest rate parity deviations and have a significant negative effects on the macroeconomy....

The panel will discuss the implications of the future of labor on inequality. How is the future of labor affected by long-term trends, such as demographic change, digitalization and the climate crisis? What is the effect of the war in Ukraine and the new geopolitical situation? How will these...

This paper investigates how monetary expansion affects household consumption and savings through household debts. Using monetary policy cuts in China in the end of 2008 as an experiment, we find that the resulted increase in indebted households’ disposable income leads to increasing...

This paper develops a new class of poverty and inequality measures we call common prosperity. This measure complements existing classes of measures and allows decomposition across income sources or components of consumption expenditure. This framework enables us to study the trade-off between...

We document that the dominant component of overall and residual wage inequality is within plant-occupations and, combining within-occupation task information from labor force surveys with linked plant-worker data for Germany, establish three interrelated facts: (1) larger plants and exporters...

We propose a simple explanation for the long-run decline in the startup rate. It was caused by a slowdown in labor supply growth since the late 1970s, largely pre-determined by demographics. This channel explains roughly two-thirds of the decline and why incumbent firm survival and average...