“Macro Policies in Turbulent Times” – #KKG107 takes a closer look at key issues in monetary and fiscal affairs. Macroeconomically, the recent years have been turbulent times indeed. Both the pandemic as well as the energy crisis brought about new challenges for monetary and fiscal...

We evaluate the impact of loan-to-value restrictions on household financial vulnerability. Using Norwegian tax data, we first document a beneficial leverage effect, in which households respond to the regulation by reducing house purchase probabilities, debt and interest expenses. Second, we...

We introduce shocks to the availability of US dollar funding for non-US financial intermediaries in a two-country New Keynesian model with financial frictions. Such dollar shortages lead to uncovered interest rate parity deviations and have a significant negative effects on the macroeconomy....

This paper investigates how monetary expansion affects household consumption and savings through household debts. Using monetary policy cuts in China in the end of 2008 as an experiment, we find that the resulted increase in indebted households’ disposable income leads to increasing...

This paper develops a new class of poverty and inequality measures we call common prosperity. This measure complements existing classes of measures and allows decomposition across income sources or components of consumption expenditure. This framework enables us to study the trade-off between...

The recent trade disputes and the technological rivalry between the US and China make the effects of trade policy one of the most relevant economic subject areas. We employ a multi-country, multi-sector general equilibrium modelling framework with imperfect competition and heterogeneous firm...

Highly interconnected global supply chains make countries vulnerable to supply chain disruptions. In this paper, we estimate the macroeconomic effects of global supply chain shocks for the euro area. Our empirical model combines business cycle variables with data from international container...

If sectoral trade flows obey structural gravity, countries’ bilateral trade imbalances are the result of macro trade imbalances, “triangular trade”, or pairwise asymmetric trade barriers. Using data for 40 major economies and the Rest of the World, we show that large and pervasive...

The COVID-19 outbreak has cut China's supply of and raised the world's demand for face masks, disinfectants, ventilators, and other critical medical goods. This article studies the economic and political factors that are associated with China's exports of medical equipment during the first two...

The macroeconomic impacts of the quantitative easing programs enacted by the major central banks worldwide have been examined in many scientific articles. An increasing number of papers have additionally explored the spillover effects of the US and – to a lesser degree EA and UK - QE programs...