Пространственные факторы непреднамеренных падений в зимний период

Falls are a serious problem in northern countries during winter. The purpose of the study is to model the number of falls in the urban environment in winter. Particular attention is paid to patterns of fall concentration in various types of urban environments. The analysis was carried out on weekly data on the number of falls in Perm for 4 winters 2015-2019 in the context of 82 districts. The share of special zones (industrial, college campuses, hospitals etc.), the share of low-rise buildings, the number of retail outlets, the number of food facilities were taken into account as factors influencing injuries. The analysis showed a significant impact on reducing the number of drops in the share of territories occupied by special zones and low-rise buildings. The growth in the number of retail facilities contributed to the increase in the number of falls. Given the above, urban settings should be considered for individual policy profiles to prevent outdoor falls.