Forecasting the Bankruptcy Risk on the Example of Romanian Enterprises

The purpose of this paper represents the foundation of a score function, effective in the forecast of bankruptcy risk for companies in the Romanian economy. In order to achieve bankrupt / non-bankrupt discrimination in the econometric model, we have used relevant indicators regarding liquidity, indebtment and profitability. Based on the financial information for 2010, on a sample of 70 enterprises, we have developed an econometric model for the forecast of bankruptcy risk, subsequently tested on a new sample of 30 enterprises. The results achieved can form a landmark for Romanian enterprises in substantiating decisions, with the purpose to avoid financial failure.