2012 Outlook of the U.S. and World Wheat Industries, 2012-2021

This report evaluates the U.S. and world wheat markets for the 2012-2021 time period using the Global Wheat Policy Simulation Model. This analysis is based on a series of assumptions about general economic conditions, agricultural policies, weather conditions, and technological change. Both the U.S. and world wheat economies are predicted to remain relatively healthy for the next ten years. World demand for both common and durum wheat are expected to remain strong. The high price levels in 2010 and early 2011 will not be maintained because they are the result of a small wheat crop in 2010 in the Former Soviet Union (FSU). It is expected that wheat production in the FSU will return to normal in the future. World trade volumes of both durum and common wheat are expected to expand, but trade volume of common wheat may grow faster than that of durum wheat.