A DETERMINISTIC METHOD FOR SHORT-TERM GDP EVALUATION

The paper attempts to estimate the monthly components of the nominal GDP in order to obtain the monthly nominal GDP for the Romanian economy. All the quarterly time series are available at current prices since 1994 to 2001. The method is a deterministic algorithm that computes unobserved monthly series based on the information content in their quarterly data. The results show that the Romanian GDP reaches a maximum every year in October and a minimum in January.

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Year of publication:	2003
Authors:	Stanica, Cristian Nicolae
Published in:	Journal for Economic Forecasting. - Institutul de Prognoza Economica. - 2003, 2, p. 122-132
Publisher:	Institutul de Prognoza Economica
Subject:	interpolation \| monthly nominal GDP \| GDP decomposition \| national accounts

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Type of publication:	Article
Classification:	C22 - Time-Series Models ; E32 - Business Fluctuations; Cycles ; E37 - Forecasting and Simulation
Source:	RePEc - Research Papers in Economics

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827624