A Multiplicative Formula for Aggregating Probability Assessments

This paper presents an axiomatic approach to the problem of aggregating expert assessments of an event's probability into some group probability assessment. A multiplicative formula is derived.

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Year of publication:	1982
Authors:	Bordley, Robert F.
Published in:	Management Science. - Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences - INFORMS, ISSN 0025-1909. - Vol. 28.1982, 10, p. 1137-1148
Publisher:	Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences - INFORMS
Subject:	probability \| games/group decisions \| multiattribute utility theory

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Extent:	application/pdf
Type of publication:	Article
Other identifiers:	10.1287/mnsc.28.10.1137 [DOI]
Source:	RePEc - Research Papers in Economics

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009209252