A note on optimal stopping for possible change in the intensity of an ordinary Poisson process
Peskir and Shiryaev [2002. Solving the Poisson disorder problem. In: Advances in Finance and Stochastics: Essays in Honor of Dieter Sonderman. Springer, New York, pp. 295-312] determined the optimal stopping rule for a problem of quick detection of a change-point in the intensity of a homogeneous ordinary Poisson process, when the cost per unit time of delayed detection is in a given range, and the change-point occurs at random times following a mixed exponential distribution. Using the same Bayesian framework, we extend their results to a range of cost values not considered before. We obtain the results by using the Dynamic Programming rather than the analytical methods used by Peskir and Shiryaev.
Year of publication: |
2006
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Authors: | Brown, Marlo ; Zacks, Shelemyahu |
Published in: |
Statistics & Probability Letters. - Elsevier, ISSN 0167-7152. - Vol. 76.2006, 13, p. 1417-1425
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Publisher: |
Elsevier |
Keywords: | Poisson process Markovian Arrival rate Dynamic programming Risk |
Saved in:
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