A Sectoral Analysis of Price-Setting Behavior in US Manufacturing Industries

In this paper we develop a mutli-sector model of firms’ pricing behavior under imperfect competition. We allow for the fact that some goods sold will be formal consumption, while others will be used as intermediate goods in further production. We assume that price setters are constrained by the existence of Calvo (1983) contracts which enables us to measure the extent of price inertia across industrial sectors. We further allow for the possibility that some firms set prices to maximise the discounted value of profits, while others set prices according to a backward-looking rule-of- thumb. We then estimate the resulting price-setting equations for 18 US manufacturing industries defined at the 2-digit level over the period 1959 to 1996. We find that there is statistically significant variability in estimates in price stickiness, ranging from 4 months to almost 1.5 years with significantly more inertia in the setting of durable goods prices. We also find that estimates of backward looking price setting behaviour also vary, with some industries acting in a purely forward-looking manner, while others are charactersied by almost 50% of firms setting prices in a backward- looking fashion.