- 1. Introduction
- 2. The game
- 3. Modelling choice rules
- 4. The econometric choice model
- 5. Estimation of the choice model and a test of rational expectations
- 6. A “rule of thumb” belief function6. A “rule of thumb” belief function
- 7. Introducing randomness in contestants’ beliefs
- 8. A mixture model of myopic and forward-looking behaviour
- 9. Conclusion
- Appendix 1: Monte Carlo Simulation
- Appendix 2: Modelling the Banker’s Offer function
- References
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