Acting under Uncertainty: Multidisciplinary Conceptions

I. The Evolution of Scientific Conceptions of Uncertainty and Their Social Underpinnings -- 1. Coping with Uncertainty in Natural Science: 1200–1700 -- 2. Political, Moral, and Economic Decisions and the Origins of the Mathematical Theory of Probability: The Case of Jacob Bernoulli’s The Art of Conjecturing -- 3. The Quantification of Uncertainty After 1700: Statistics Socially Constructed? -- 4. Uncertainty and the Conditioning of Beliefs -- 5. The Unity of Probability -- 6. Necessity, Chance, and Freedom -- II. Risk Analysis and Social Responsibility -- 7. Risk in Cultural Perspective -- 8. Statistical Hypothesis Tests and Statistical Power in Pure and Applied Science -- 9. Uncertainty in Environmental Risk Assessment -- 10. Uncertainty in Morals and Politics -- III. Learning and Acting Under Uncertainty -- 11. Re-Modeling Risk Aversion: A Comparison of Bernoullian and Rank Dependent Value Approaches -- 12. Neither Gullible Nor Unteachable Be: Signal Extraction and the Optimal Speed of Learning from Uncertain News -- 13. Rethinking Rational Expectations -- 14. Multiattribute Decision Models: Task Order and Group Effects -- IV. Coping With Extreme Forms of Uncertainty -- 15. Measuring Vague Uncertainties and Understanding Their Use in Decision Making -- 16. Quantifying Vagueness and Possibility: New Trends in Knowledge Representation -- 17. Chaos and Complexity in Economic and Financial Science -- 18. Information.