Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Konsumsi Masyarakat Di Propinsi Sumatera Utara

The title of this research is analysis of some factors effect on the household consumption in north Sumatera. The purpose of this study was to (1) analyze the influence of current real GDRP to household consumption (2) analyze the influence of real GDRP last year to households consumption (3) analyzing the effect of deposit rates for household consumption (5) analyzing the effect of population for household consumption, and to find out how much marginal propensity to consume in North Sumatra.The data used in this research is secondary data using a distributed lag model. Data obtained mainly from the Central Statistics Beureu of North Sumatera in various publications, the data of the National Socio economic Survey (SUSENAS) of 2006, the annual report of Bank Indonesia publications, and other sources related. To support the basic data is also collected a variety of additional data that supports the research obtained through the writings of scientific journals and the literature that discusses the problems referred to above.The research is partially known that there is a significant influence of real GDP in year t and t-1 and deposit rates influence on the household consumption. Value of real GDP in year t has a probability of 0.0155, GDP the previous year (t-1) of 0.0490, and deposit rates have a probability value of 0.0005. In this research population as a variable light having a positive relationship with consumption. R2 = 0,973 results can be concluded that in terms of fitness test (Test of goodness of fit) that explain the total variation in independent variable can explain the dependent variable as 97,3%, and only 0.027 percent of the determinants that influence consumption in North Sumatra explained by other variables in the research model. Also be obtained from the estimated value of prob (F-Statistics) for 0000 < significant independent variables influence the dependent 0.05 variable as a whole is strong enough.