Assessing Structural Convergence between Romanian Economy and Euro Area: A Bayesian Approach

In this paper we involved a study of structural convergence between Romanian and Euro Zone econ- omies from the view point of synchronization in responses to shocks. For this purpose we called a Bayesian framework in which we estimated a time-varying parameters VAR model. For the identifi- cation of structural shocks we started from semi-structural VAR in which we incorporated the stan- dard predictions of DSGE literature for a New-Keynesian model. For several purposes mentioned in the paper, we used two versions of data, replacing GDP and GDP deflator from a standard approach with consumption and its deflator. In this paper we were mainly interested for the response of inter- est variables to a monetary shock for policy purposes and in a second timeframe for the responses to other types of shocks.