Carbon Emission Forecasts and Reduction Strategies for Ships in Inland Port Areas

Future emission reductions can be guided by a timely evaluation of the impact of emission reduction initiatives in the marine sector. To forecast carbon emission reductions and assess the consequences of various emission reduction techniques, we offer a generic framework for a ship carbon emission prediction model based on several emission reduction scenarios. Three factors—port and ship electrification (PSE), clean fuel substitution (CFS), and ship speed optimization (SSO)—are combined to create emission reduction scenarios with various intensities (lenient, intensive, and aggressive). In the case of Wuhan Port, the effect of carbon reduction was evaluated by comparing various measurements with the baseline scenario. The results indicate that the aggressive PSE and CFS scenarios will reach the carbon peak in 2029 and 2025, respectively. Finally, the possibility of reducing emissions offered by various solutions is examined, and recommendations for port ships' carbon footprint reduction are provided