Chapter 14. Optimal Monetary Stabilization Policy

This chapter reviews the theory of optimal monetary stabilization policy in New Keynesian models, with particular emphasis on developments since the treatment of this topic in Woodford (2003). The primary emphasis of the chapter is on methods of analysis that are useful in this area, rather than on final conclusions about the ideal conduct of policy (that are obviously model-dependent, and hence dependent on the stand that one might take on many issues that remain controversial), and on general themes that have been found to be important under a range of possible model specifications. 1 1 Practical lessons of the modern literature on monetary stabilization policy are developed in more detail in Chapter 15 by Taylor and Williams (2010) and Chapter 22 by Svensson (2010) in this Handbook . With regard to methodology, some of the central themes of this review will be the application of the method of Ramsey policy analysis to the problem of the optimal conduct of monetary policy, and the connection that can be established between utility maximization and linear-quadratic policy problems of the sort often considered in the central banking literature. With regard to the structure of a desirable decision framework for monetary policy deliberations, some of the central themes will be the importance of commitment for a superior stabilization outcome, and more generally, the importance of advance signals about the future conduct of policy, the advantages of history-dependent policies over purely forward-looking approaches, and the usefulness of a target criterion as a way of characterizing a central bank's policy commitment.