Co-movements of index options and futures quotes
We report evidence that the co-movements of index options and index futures quotes differ sharply from perfect correlation in periods with option trades. In half-hour intervals with (without) option trades 25% (12%) of call option quote changes have either the opposite sign or are larger in magnitude than the corresponding index futures quote changes. We calibrate a stochastic volatility model that allows for trade and no-trade periods using real data and simulate the joint co-movements of index quotes and option quotes in this model. We show that for trade intervals the observed co-movements differ from the benchmark case established by our simulations approximately three times too often. We provide empirical evidence that market microstructure effects - specifically, stale quotes and aggressive quotes - explain the majority of the deviations from the benchmark. Our findings are relevant for techniques that use estimates of local co-movements as inputs to price or hedge options.
Year of publication: |
2009
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Authors: | Fahlenbrach, Rüdiger ; Sandås, Patrik |
Published in: |
Journal of Empirical Finance. - Elsevier, ISSN 0927-5398. - Vol. 16.2009, 1, p. 151-163
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Publisher: |
Elsevier |
Keywords: | Options High-frequency data Market Microstructure Hedge ratio |
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