Cognitive Uncertainty in Games - A Note on Limited Information Processing and Backward Induction
A notion of cognitive uncertainty is introduced as an agent's uncertainty about the validity of the results of his own information processing. In order to analyze this notion, a formal model of the agent's information processing is presented. It is shown how cognitive uncertainty may prevent a group of well informed rational agents from playing backward induction in a game of perfect information, whereas they would play backward induction without such uncertainty.