Computable General Equilibrium Micro Simulation Analysis of the Impact of Trade Policies on Poverty in Uganda

This paper uses a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) framework and benchmark data from Uganda national household survey to estimate the impact of trade liberalisation on poverty in Uganda. Three simulations are performed: removal of EAC tariffs, removal of non-EAC COMESA tariffs and removal of all tariffs. Our results indicate that poverty falls in all cases, but poverty falls much more in the case of a complete removal of tariffs on all imports (2.94%), compared with the case of removal of EAC tariffs (2.76%) or non-EAC COMESA tariffs (1.08%).