Credit Constraints, Firm Dynamics and the Transmission of External Financial Shocks
1989 to 2000, and analyze the effect of the 1994 crisis modeled as an unexpected increase in the risk free rate. The model predicts: (i) a real exchange rate depreciation, (ii) an increase in the debt burden, (ii) a drop in output, (iii) a large decline in investment, (iv) an increase in exports. These real effects are consistent with the evidence for the Mexican crisis.