Demography, Unemployment, Automation, and Digitalization: Implications for the Creation of (Decent) Jobs, 2010–2030

Globally, an estimated 734 million jobs will be required between 2010 and 2030 to accommodate recent and ongoing demographic shifts, account for plausible changes in labour force participation rates, and achieve target unemployment rates of at or below 4 percent for adults and at or below 8 percent for youth. The facts that i) most new jobs will be required in countries where "decent" jobs are less prevalent and ii) workers in many occupations are increasingly subject to risks of automation further compound the challenge of job creation, which is already quite sizable in historical perspective. Failure to create the jobs that are needed through 2030 would put currently operative social security systems under pressure and undermine efforts to guarantee the national social protection floors enshrined in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

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Year of publication:	2018
Authors:	Bloom, David E. ; McKenna, Matthew J. ; Prettner, Klaus
Publisher:	Bonn : Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
Subject:	demography \| unemployment \| job creation \| automation \| digitalization

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Series:	IZA Discussion Papers ; 11739
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Type of publication (narrower categories):	Working Paper
Language:	English
Other identifiers:	103036897X [GVK] hdl:10419/185199 [Handle] RePEc:iza:izadps:dp11739 [RePEc]
Classification:	J11 - Demographic Trends and Forecasts ; J20 - Time Allocation; Work Behavior; Employment Determination and Creation. General ; J24 - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
Source:	EconStor