Do Peso Problems Explain the Returns to the Carry Trade?

We study the properties of the carry trade, a currency speculation strategy in which an investor borrows low-interest-rate currencies and lends high-interest-rate currencies. This strategy generates payoffs which are on average large and uncorrelated with traditional risk factors. We argue that these payoffs reflect a peso problem. The underlying peso event features high values of the stochastic discount factor rather than very large negative payoffs.

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Year of publication:	2008-06
Authors:	Eichenbaum, Martin ; Burnside, A. Craig ; Kleshchelski, Isaac ; Rebelo, Sergio
Institutions:	National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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Extent:	application/pdf
Series:	NBER Working Papers.
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Notes:	AP EFG IFM ME published as Craig Burnside & Martin Eichenbaum & Isaac Kleshchelski & Sergio Rebelo, 2011. "Do Peso Problems Explain the Returns to the Carry Trade?," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(3), pages 853-891. Number 14054
Classification:	F31 - Foreign Exchange
Source:	RePEc - Research Papers in Economics

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