Efficiency of the Forward Foreign Exchange Market: A Stability Analysis Using Canadian/U.S. Weekly and Monthly Data
This paper examines the stability of coefficient estimates from weak-form and semi-strong form tests of efficiency in the 30-day forward exchange rate using Canadian/U.S. weekly and monthly data. The structural relationships are unstable and conclusions based on the full sample estimation can, at times, be highly misleading. We argue against the usefulness of semi-strong-form tests in the absence of behavioural modelling.
Year of publication: |
1982
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Authors: | Gregory, Allan W. ; McCurdy, Thomas H. |
Institutions: | Economics Department, Queen's University |
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