Empirical Analysis on the Grain Supply Capacity of Hubei Province, China

According to the investigation results of grain production and demand status of administrative units at county level in Hubei Province in the years 2004-2007, status and trend of grain production and grain demand in Hubei Province are analyzed, so as to discuss the grain supply capacity of Hubei Province. Result shows that affected by the adjustment of agricultural structure and the transfer of rural labor, Hubei Province shows a significant decrease in grain production before the year 2002, and a gradual increase in both grain production scale and grain supply capacity after the year 2004. It is forecasted that in the year 2020, Hubei Province will provide 13100 thousand tons marketable grain to the state and will become a core province ensuring the grain security of China.