Estimação da Matriz Insumo-Produto Utilizando Dados Preliminares das Contas Nacionais : Aplicação e Análise de Indicadores Econômicos para o Brasil em 2005 (Using Data from the System of National Accounts to Estimate Input-Output Matrices: An Application Using Brazilian Data for 2005)

The goal of this study, in Portuguese, is to present and to analyze a methodology to estimate Input-Output Matrices using preliminary data from the Brazilian National Accounts. This methodology is tested for the year of 2005, where the results obtained from the input-output matrices (definitive version) available from IBGE are compared with the matrices estimated using the proposed methodology. The results analyzed refer to: a) type I production multipliers; b) Rasmussen-Hirschman backward and forward linkages; and c) Pure backward and forward linkages. Based on statistical methods (correlation indexes), the results show that the estimated matrices are similar to the ones released by IBGE. As so, this methodology can be used to estimate Brazilian national input-output matrices for the time periods where there are only preliminary data, and the economic structural analysis made with the estimated matrices are valid for the years analyzed