Estimate of Poverty Line and Analyze of Poverty Indices in Iran (1982-2007)

The purpose of this paper is to answer this question that if poverty status regarding various indices follow similar trends during the war between Iran and Iraq and developmental plans for urban and rural areas in Iran in 1982-2007 period. Using the Granger Causality test and correlation analysis, the inter-relation of indices and correlations among areas is examined. Results indicate that while the monthly poverty line in urban areas from 1982 to 2007 increased 80 times, monthly poverty line in rural areas increased from 1982 to 2007 increased 77 times. Granger causality test shows that rural poverty type did not affect other types of poverty; but some kinds of poverty indices in urban areas are very effective on each other. Finally, it reveals that the politics impacts on indices are different in various regions.