Expert adjustments of model forecasts : theory, practice and strategies for improvement

Philip Hans Franses

"This monograph aims to collect recent theoretical insights and various empirical results for a rapidly developing area concerning the analysis of business and economic forecasts. Strictly following econometric textbooks one would be tempted to assume that forecasts are the outcome of a careful modeling exercise and that the econometric model builder delivers the forecast to an end user"--

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Year of publication:	2014
Authors:	Franses, Philip Hans
Publisher:	Cambridge : Cambridge Univ. Press
Subject:	Wirtschaftsprognose \| Economic forecast \| Prognoseverfahren \| Forecasting model \| Ökonometrisches Modell \| Econometric model \| Experten \| Experts \| Experte \| Prognose \| Ökonometrie
Description of contents:	Description [assets.cambridge.org] ; Description [loc.gov] ; Description [loc.gov]

Extent:	XVI, 127 S. graph. Darst.
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Language:	English
Notes:	Machine generated contents note: Preface; 1. Introduction; 2. Optimal behavior of experts; 3. Observed behavior of experts; 4. How accurate are expert-adjusted forecasts?; 5. How can forecasts be improved?; 6. Conclusion, limitations and implications; Data appendix; References; Index.
ISBN:	978-1-107-08159-8 ; 978-1-107-44161-3
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010434237