• 1. Introduction
  • 2. Related literature
  • 3. Methodology
  • 3.1. Forecasting setup
  • 3.2. Data-rich methods
  • 3.3. Trade-weighting approaches to summarising international data
  • 3.4. Strength and weaknesses of the various approaches
  • 4. Data
  • 4.1. Characteristics of the dataset
  • 5. Forecasting results
  • 5.1. Forecasts using New Zealand data only
  • 5.2. Forecasts using international data only
  • 5.3. Forecasts using New Zealand and all international data
  • 5.4. Best forecasting models and summary of forecasting results
  • 6. The relevance of different classes of international data over the sample
  • 6.1. Impact of international subsets on forecasting accuracy
  • 6.2. Historical contributions to New Zealand GDP growth forecasts
  • 6.3. Do national surveys reflect international information?
  • 7. Conclusions
  • References