Global Volatility and Forex Returns in East Asia

During 2001-07, increases in mature market volatility were associated with declines in forex returns for East Asian countries, consistent with an overall ""flight to safety"" effect. Estimates from GARCH models suggest that a 5 percentage point increase in mature market equity volatility generated an exchange rate depreciation of up to ½ percent. This sensitivity rose during the latter period in the sample, suggesting greater integration of Asian financial markets with global markets. Unconditional standard deviations estimated from these models also provide operational measures of ""long-term

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Year of publication:	2008
Authors:	Kalra, Sanjay
Publisher:	Washington : International Monetary Fund
Subject:	Ostasien \| East Asia \| Volatilität \| Volatility \| Devisenmarkt \| Foreign exchange market \| ARCH-Modell \| ARCH model

Extent:	Online-Ressource (33 p)
Series:	IMF Working Papers
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Language:	English
Notes:	Description based upon print version of record Contents; I. Introduction; II. Methodology and Data; III. GARCH Models of East Asian Daily Forex Returns; IV. Empirical Results; A. Sensitivity of Forex Returns to Mature Equity Market Volatility; B. Conditional and Unconditional Volatility of Forex Returns:; C. Subsamples; V. Robustness; VI. Conclusions; Figures; 1. VIX and VDAX Indices; 2. Exchange Rates; 3. Daily Forex Returns; 4. Daily Squared Forex Returns; 5. FIX_AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models: Residuals; 6. VIX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models: Squared Residuals; 7. Daily Conditional and Unconditional Volatilities: 2001-07 8. Daily Conditional and Unconditional Volatilities: VIX Models, 2001-03Q29. Daily Conditional and Unconditional Volatilities: VIX Models, 2003Q3-07; 10. Daily Conditional and Unconditional Volatilities: VIX Models, 2001-07; Tables; 1. Daily Foreign Exchange Return: Summary Statistics; 2. VIX and VDAX Indices: Summary Statistics; 3. Exchange Rates and Volatility Indices: Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Statistics; 4. VAR Lag Order Selection Criteria; 5. Forex Returns and VIX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models, 2001-07; 6. Forex Returns and VIX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models, 2001-03Q2 7. Forex Returns and VIX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models, 2003Q3-078. Forex Returns and VDAX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models, 2001-07; 9. Forex Returns and VDAX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models, 2001-03Q2; 10. Forex Returns and VDAX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models, 2003Q3-0; References
ISBN:	978-1-4518-7066-4 ; 978-1-4519-1519-8 ; 978-1-4518-7066-4
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

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