Hversu vel tekst til með verðbólguspár greiningardeilda?

Every month the commercial banks in Iceland publish their inflation forecast for the coming month. This paper examines how accurate these forecasts were from 2000 to 2006. Most of the forecasts have similar accuracy where the inflation rate in the month in question is underestimated by 2 to 6 points. We did not find that a forecast is more likely to be accurate in a specific month if it was accurate in the previous month.

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Year of publication:	2007
Authors:	Olafsdottir, Katrin ; Sigurdsson, Kari

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Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Language:	English ; Icelandic
Notes:	Olafsdottir, Katrin and Sigurdsson, Kari (2007): Hversu vel tekst til með verðbólguspár greiningardeilda?
Classification:	G12 - Asset Pricing ; E31 - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation ; E37 - Forecasting and Simulation
Source:	BASE

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