Impactos ambientais e regionais de cenários de crescimento da economia brasileira — 2002-2012

This study simulates environmental effects with the inter-regional general equilibrium model Mibra assuming economic growth rates in a pessimist scenario of 2.3% a.a. and an optimist scenario of 4.4% a.a., both for the period 2002-2012. Using pollution intensity coefficients associated to production activities, environmental effects were estimated for the whole country as well as for the regions North, Central, Northeast, Southeast and South. Results indicate that reducing concentration growth in the axes Southeast-South may improve environmental efficiency of the whole economy with lower ratios of industrial pollution and water and energy use levels per unit of output produced.