Inégalité et pauvreté chez les personnes âgées : une projection à long terme

This contribution provides à long term assessment of the first-pillar pension?s adequacy in Belgium. During the decades to come, the risk of financial poverty of the elderly would decrease considerably. This would mainly be the result of the increased labour participation rate of women, and an important increase of some key parameters of the pension system. This study focuses on the impact of two recent measures; the increase of the ?guaranteed income of the elderly? (Grapa/IGO) by 14% in 2006, and the 17% increase of the minimum right per career year in the same year. The key result of the paper is that the first measure has been an important element in explaining the reduced risk of poverty among the elderly, whereas the impact of the second measure is negligible. Jel Classification ? J14, D31, I32