Información privilegiada, administración de riesgos y utilidades esperadas: Una aplicación de los juegos de señalización al estudio de crisis cambiarias

In this paper we study the hypothesis of “divergent expectations” with a signaling game. Such hypothesis points out that, in emerging economies, local investors tend to be front-runners in a currency crisis. Our analysis shows that changes in the informational structure available to the investors change their risk management practices. Particularly, if local investors have privileged information, about the likelihood of problems in the economy, they will monopolize the available asset returns and expected utilities. Furthermore the sum of expected utilities of local and foreign investors will be lower than the one achieved without information asymmetries.