Informational Content in Interest Rate Term Structures.

Employing continuous arbitrage pricing principles, closed-form expressions for the term structure of interest rates as functions of two specific rates are developed. Model restrictions to the two one-dimensional submodels are tested and rejected, thereby supporting the hypothesis that the term structure is at least two-dimensional. Evidence is also presented that supports the view that the informational content of the term structure lies in its longer maturities. Copyright 1993 by MIT Press.