International Seminar on Trends in Mathematical Modelling : Venice, 13-18 December 1971
edited by Nigel Hawkes
I Introduction -- II The State of Futures Research -- The role of futures research in societal modelling -- The present state of futures research in the Soviet Union -- III Planning of Systems -- A system of models for central planning -- A “non-paternalistic” attitude in using models of social organizations -- Mathematical models in the design and operation of public transport systems -- IV Simulation Modelling and Game Theory -- Mathematical modelling of some social and environmental problems -- Dynamic systems modeling -- The dynamics of global equilibrium -- System simulation to test environmental policy: A sample study of DDT movement in the environment -- A dynamic simulation model of the urban development of Venice -- Some aspects of socio-economic modelling -- Imitation models of historical processes -- V Computers and Methodology for Modelling -- A computer method of analysing the structure of behavioural models -- Information systems and computer systems -- Mathematical modelling of cybernetic systems -- “Soft models”, hard data, and social reality -- Principles of simulation: hierarchical control systems -- VI Human Interaction on Modelling -- Delphi research: Experiments and prospects -- Algorithms for assessing the quality of expert data -- Applications of futures research to society’s problems -- Conclusion.
