Jump factor models in large cross-sections
We develop tests for deciding whether a large cross-section of asset prices obey an exact factor structure at the times of factor jumps. Such jump dependence is implied by standard linear factor models. Our inference is based on a panel of asset returns with asymptotically increasing cross-sectional dimension and sampling frequency, and essentially no restriction on the relative magnitude of these two dimensions of the panel. The test is formed from the high-frequency returns at the times when the risk factors are detected to have a jump. The test statistic is a cross-sectional average of a measure of discrepancy in the estimated jump factor loadings of the assets at consecutive jump times. Under the null hypothesis, the discrepancy in the factor loadings is due to a measurement error, which shrinks with the increase of the sampling frequency, while under an alternative of a noisy jump factor model this discrepancy contains also nonvanishing firm-specific shocks. The limit behavior of the test under the null hypothesis is nonstandard and reflects the strong-dependence in the cross-section of returns as well as their heteroskedasticity which is left unspecified. We further develop estimators for assessing the magnitude of firm-specific risk in asset prices at the factor jump events. Empirical application to S&P 100 stocks provides evidence for exact one-factor structure at times of big market-wide jump events.
Year of publication: |
2019
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Authors: | Li, Jia ; Todorov, Viktor ; Tauchen, George Eugene |
Published in: |
Quantitative Economics. - New Haven, CT : The Econometric Society, ISSN 1759-7331. - Vol. 10.2019, 2, p. 419-456
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Publisher: |
New Haven, CT : The Econometric Society |
Subject: | Factor model | panel | high-frequency data | jumps | semimartingale,specification test | stochastic volatility |
Saved in:
freely available
Type of publication: | Article |
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Type of publication (narrower categories): | Article |
Language: | English |
Other identifiers: | 10.3982/QE1060 [DOI] 1671455371 [GVK] hdl:10419/217147 [Handle] |
Classification: | C51 - Model Construction and Estimation ; C52 - Model Evaluation and Testing ; G12 - Asset Pricing |
Source: |
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012215377
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