Lessons from the ECB Experience: Frankfurt Still Matters!

This paper compares the European Central Bank's (ECB) conduct of monetary policy (1999-2005) with that of the Bundesbank (after the German Unification: 1990-1998) in order to test the hypothesis of an ECB with 'Bundesbank's preferences' put forward in the theoretical literature (Alesina and Grilli, 1993; Fatum, 2006). Econometric tests and simulations based on monetary policy reaction functions show that the continuation of the former Bundesbank regime is supported by the data. Given this empirical evidence we discuss the lessons for future Monetary Unions stemming from the ECB experience. Copyright 2007 The Authors Journal compilation 2007 Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA