Macroeconometric modelling for evaluationg the policy impact on growth in dualistic countries: the case of Southern Italian Regions

Can policies accelerate the convergence path of dualistic economic growth in a single country, offsetting market failures and making growth transmission channels more efficient? A structural dynamic econometric model, has been set up in order to account for these changes. Three are the main sources of growth playing a role in this context: the “neighbourhood” effect, the interaction between the economic environment and the agents' expectations, and the policy impact on economic take-off. The evidence shows that policies strongly boost economicgrowth of a local area and narrow the gap between the regions of a dual economy.