Measuring fiscal spillovers in EMU and beyond: A Global VAR approach
We identifiy and measure fiscal spillovers in the EU countries using a global vector autoregression (GVAR) model. We find moderate spillover effects of fiscal policy shocks originating in Germany and France and significant variation regarding magnitude of the spillovers among destination countries and country clusters. Furthermore, we find some evidence that spillovers generated by German or French fiscal spillovers are stronger for EMU than non-EMU countries in Europe.