Measuring Output Trends Using Actual and Expected Output in UK Manufacturing, 1975-98

Direct measures of expectations, derived from survey data, are used in a vector autoregressive (VAR) model of actual and expected output series in eight industrial sectors comprising UK manufacturing. Through the application of the Beveridge Nelson decomposition, the VAR model is used to measure trend output in the manufacturing sector. This measure is compared with alternative trend measures obtained using aggregate manufacturing sector data only

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Year of publication:	2001
Authors:	Lee, Kevin C. ; Shields, Kalvinder K.
Publisher:	[S.l.] : SSRN
Subject:	Bruttoinlandsprodukt \| Gross domestic product \| Konjunktur \| Business cycle \| Großbritannien \| United Kingdom \| Industrie \| Manufacturing industries \| VAR-Modell \| VAR model \| Messung \| Measurement
Description of contents:	Abstract [papers.ssrn.com]

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Extent:	1 Online-Ressource
Type of publication:	Book / Working Paper
Language:	English
Notes:	In: Manchester School, Vol. 68, No. 5 Volltext nicht verfügbar
Source:	ECONIS - Online Catalogue of the ZBW

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