Mesure de l'incertitude tendancielle sur la mortalité – application à un régime de rentes
The aim of this paper is to propose a realistic and operational model to quantify the systematic risk of mortality included in an engagement of retirement. The model presented is built on the basis of model of Lee-Carter. The stochastic prospective tables thus built make it possible to project the evolution of the random mortality rates in the future and to quantify the systematic risk of mortality.
View the original document on HAL open archive server: http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00443030/en/ Published, Assurances et Gestion des Risques, 2007, 75, 3, 1...10