Methods of Predictive Foresight of Cluster Development Using Arbitrage Techniques

The proposed foresight methods are based on predicting values of capitalization functions of the cluster companies and on calculating the best possible equivalent portfolio of the cluster companies using arbitrage techniques. In this respect, the capitalization functions are contingent upon two market multipliers - a revenue multiplier and an earnings multiplier. Positive shares of companies in the portfolio are indicative of the business expansion requirement, and negative shares are indicative of the business sale requirement. The maximum synergistic effect will occur where the difference between a purchased (sold) company and a sold (purchased) portfolio from other companies is greater