Model of the use of coal, gas, and oil

A methodology for model simplification is described, which uses the pseudo-data approach and known statistical techniques. An analysis of pseudo-data generated from the Brookhaven Energy System Optimization Model (BESOM) was undertaken to determine the interrelationship of imported oil use with coal and gas use in that model. The simplified model is tested by projecting the imported oil needed for levels of coal and gas use consistent with the national restrictions embodied in BESOM. Projections of the derived functions were verified with full-scale BESOM runs. The effects of gas and coal prices on oil use are shown.